Posts tagged social media roi
Why Facebook will become the most dangerous company on earth
Apr 10th
Within the next 60 days, an event will occur that may be the most devastating development in the young history of social media and for the businesses and individuals who love it so much.
Facebook is going to become a publicly-traded company.
If you have ever worked for a public company you can relate to what I am about to say. If you haven’t you’ll have to trust me.
The pressure of “public”
The entire tone of Facebook and its strategy is about to change in ways that I believe could portend desperation and disaster. Instead of managing for a long-term vision, becoming a public company creates an inexorable and relentless pressure to meet quarterly sales goals. If you have ever been an executive in a publicy-traded company, other than hearing “A crew from 60 Minutes is at the door,” there is probably no greater pressure in business than the demand to grow, grow, grow the revenues — To “beat the street,” without exception, without fail.
Maybe it will will take a few months, maybe it will take a year or more, but inevitably the marching orders of Facebook executives will be determined by this constant drumbeat of “more, higher, faster.”
Now, what is the source of Facebook’s growing revenues? You and me.
Virtually the entire economic model of Facebook is based on a single tactic — collect as much personal information about you as possible as a way to sell highly-targeted ads. So for Facebook to succeed, it simply must collect increasing amounts of information about you. More information = more ad revenues. Pretty simple.
Through this lens, we can now view Facebook’s new Timeline innovation as a clever move. The company encourages us to post and share everything about our lives, which will lead to more advertising opportunities. And, you can be assured that every new feature and innovation will be aimed at two things: 1) collect more information and 2) create “stickiness” so you spend more time on the site (to share information and view ads).
Is this sustainable?
So we have to consider — Is this relentless collection of information and selling of ads sustainable in a way that meets Wall Street’s expectations for continuous and aggressive growth?
At least in the near term, Facebook’s prospects seem bright. They are just starting to mine Timeline information. The possibility of organic growth in new countries like China present vast opportunities for data collection and advertising.
But will we reach a saturation point where it becomes impossible for Facebook to squeeze any more information from us? Will we reach a day when Facebook’s insatiable need for data becomes annoying and invasive? Is there a theoretical limit to information gathering? Is there an upper limit to the amount of time people will spend on Facebook?
The other collision point is that the advertising model is in transition. Smartphones are already the first screen of Internet access for 28 percent of Americans and in some parts of the world (like the Middle East), it is already over 50 percent. Compare how many ads you see displayed on your computer versus the smartphone version of Facebook and you will begin to see the crunch Facebook will be facing.
Google, which went public in 2004, faces exactly the same problem of course and I think the pressure is starting to show. I found it extremely odd when the company (who professes to never be “evil”) knowingly took a detour around anti-ad-tracking features on Apple’s iPhone to spy on our private information. They stopped the practice only after being caught by the Wall Street Journal. Apple vowed to stop the Google’s shady practices.
Why would Google do something this stupid? Well, by now you already know the answer — as a public company, Google is under incredible pressure to collect our private information to sell ads.
Similarly, executive bonuses are tied to the success of Google +. What kind of behavior will this drive at the company, when vast personal fortunes are at stake … and the platform increasingly appears to be a ghost town?
What will be the answer to the pressure for growth?
This is a glimpse of what we will one day see from Facebook, too. Undoubtedly they will look for adjacencies and new sources of revenue but nothing in the foreseeable future will come close to making a dent in their reliance on ad revenues.
At some point, Facebook will be faced with a reality — the well of personal information will be tapped dry. The opportunity to create advertising impressions will slow. Mark Zuckerberg will face unimaginable pressure from Wall Street and his shareholders. His company will have to find new ways to turn their vast resource — our personal information — into new sources of profits.
And at that point, Facebook will become the most dangerous company on earth.
How does this perspective land on you?
Always measure your social media effort. Except when you shouldn’t.
Mar 6th
Matt Ridings is one of the most intellectually challenging and entertaining friends I have made on Twitter. During a recent debate on {grow} about social media measurement he chimed in with such a smart counter-point that I wanted to provide it as a feature for the entire {grow} community …
Guest post by {grow} community member Matt Ridings
Social media measurement. This is a seemingly simple issue, with a complex point. Or perhaps a “nuanced” point is more accurate. I’m obviously a believer in data, it’s a big part of what I’ve done over my career. So to be clear, trying to measure whether something has a meaningful impact is something I am in support of. And you should always measure … unless you shouldn’t. Here is what I mean …
1) Spreadsheets should never be a substitute for business instincts. Too many fall back on spreadsheets as means to avoid risk and accountability. Thus using ROI is an excuse not to move forward with something they don’t understand.
2) Sometimes there is no ROI to measuring ROI. Just because something *can* be measured doesn’t mean it *should* be measured. If the cost of trying to measure an activity outweighs the gain of the activity itself, or eats too far into that gain then why would you measure it? It doesn’t mean there was no gain, it means you have to make a decision based on more than spreadsheets as to whether you can mentally correlate enough benefit to quantifying the activity to continue doing it.
3) Understanding appropriate time horizons and objectives is critical. Numbers mean nothing if you aren’t balancing them against proper expectations. If you don’t have a solid, educated theory as to how long an activity should take before it starts showing its full benefits (in a relationship driven economy the long tail activity becomes the norm so this becomes even more critical) then how can you know when to make a decision to stop or increase that activity?
4) Achieving a return on an activity is meaningless without a knowledge of the return on activities you *could* have been doing. Companies have limited resources, they can’t do everything, so they have to maximize those that they undertake. Getting a 20% return on something is a failure if you needed a 40% return to make it a viable alternative to some other activity that gets 30%. So “achieving an ROI” isn’t the same thing as “achieving success.”
5) Understanding the impact of measurement, both positive and negative, is also critical. Measurement itself impacts the behaviors and decisions inside the organization. How does the measurement motivate or impact the individuals? Does it do so in ways that are beneficial to the customer or in ways that benefit the company in the short term but cut its throat in the long term?
I’ll stop there, but the point is basically “It’s not whether you measure, it’s whether you understand what to do with it.”
Agree? Would love to hear your thoughts on “rational measurement!”
Matt Ridings, aka @techguerilla, is the co-Founder and CEO of SideraWorks, a new Social Business consultancy founded with Amber Naslund.
The social media measurement smackdown
Feb 19th
Last week I was involved in what one tweeter characterized as an “ROI smackdown.”
I was speaking on a panel for Social Media Week New York when one of my fellow panelists said “This ROI stuff is just a bunch of crap. I’m so tired of it. You can’t measure what you’re doing and people should not even try.”
I began to twitch.
“I agree,” said the second panelist. “Too much focus is placed on measurement.”
My head began to throb.
“As a social media marketer, I can’t measure what I do,” said the moderator. “I just do it.”
At that point, the dam broke.
“Respectfully,” I began, “I disagree with everything that has just been said! As marketers we should measure EVERYTHING. And generally, we can.”
And it kind of went downhill from there. This dialogue is nothing new. It is merely a symptom of an anti-measurement bias creeping into the blogosphere.
The gurus aren’t helping.
Unfortunately, the tone is being set by some of our most beloved social media celebrities such as Gary Vaynerchuk, David Meerman Scott and other high-profile pundits. When Gary is asked about the ROI of social media his famous reply is usually ‘Well, what’s the ROI of your mother?” Scott’s retort is usually something like “Why have a double standard? You don’t measure the ROI of the company receptionist.”
These make great sound bites, and I sincerely respect these fellas and love the passion and wisdom they bring to their work. But after hearing their rants on measurement for a couple of years now, I am agitated to the point of breaking out in hives when I hear it. Promoting an anti-measurement agenda is misguided and confusing to young marketers.
First, in their defense, I think the point they are trying to make is that social media represents an evolution in the way we communicate and we shouldn’t let an ROI calculation (or lack of one) stop us from getting on board. If you are waiting for a pie chart to make a decision, you’re probably missing the point.
Second, I fully recognize that calculating true ROI is frequently impossible. However there are many meaningful leading indicators and non-financial measures that can be tied to stakeholder value. We have so much data coming at us, there is simply no excuse not to measure.
Why you MUST measure.
Here are four reasons why you MUST measure the results of your corporate social media activities.
1) There is an implied value to everything. At some point in the life of every company, there will be a financial imperative to slash overhead costs. The bubble always bursts, at least in a free economy. When that happens, everything will be evaluated under the icy glare of number-crunchers — do we cut or not cut? This is the day of reckoning that defines the ”implied economic value” of any effort. Yes, the social media marketing effort will come under scrutiny. So will the receptionist, your wireless plan, and all these other mundane daily activities not normally associated with an Excel spreadsheet. When it’s your turn to justify the existence of your marketing efforts, you better be able to demonstrate business value, and it better be an explanation more convincing than “Don’t you see that measuring social media is like measuring your mother!”
2) If we are expending human effort, it should be justified. Every economic activity in a corporation directly or indirectly has to contribute to shareholder value or eventually it will go away.
Let’s look at how “un-free” social media really is. Let’s assume you have one person working full-time on social media marketing. We’ll assign that person a salary of $60,000. In a typical company, standard health, 401(k) and other benefit costs equal another 50% of the base salary, or in this case, $30,000. We’ll assign another 20% of base salary for overhead such as office space, shared services support and technology. That’s $12,000. We won’t even address travel, training, or bonuses.
So, our minimal full-up cost for one social media professional is $102,000. As a business owner, are you willing to spend more than $100,000 per year without requiring any accountability for a return? What kind of a company are you running?
3) If you’re not measuring, how do you know you’re making progress? Although Gary V may not be plotting his social media efforts on a chart, I guarantee you he has an acute sense of the return on his social media presence and also knows the point where there is a diminishing return on his efforts. That’s easy for him (and me too, by the way) because he can see the results every day. It’s more complicated in a corporation. Explaining that “it works just because I know it works” may be OK for an entrepreneur but it ain’t going to fly in a board room.
4) There is no excuse not to measure. I’m not advocating that every social media effort has a demonstrable ROI. I’m a practical guy. It may be cost-prohibitive or even impossible to determine the specific ROI of your efforts. Sometimes you need to look at qualitative tools for social media measurement. But there is no excuse for not tracking key measures that contribute to your company’s goals.
I can’t imagine asking a client to trust the progress of our social media effort without some indication of continuous improvement. To support your credibility, your long-term viability, and your personal career in social media marketing, YOU. MUST. MEASURE.
So please Mr. Vaynerchuk, Mr. Scott and all the other gurus out there … please re-consider what could be mis-interpreted as anti-measurement rants. It makes for entertaining quotes, but it’s providing confusing advice to many young people looking to you for thought leadership.
Time for your thoughts in the comment section …
How to create social media metrics that matter
Nov 9th
For years I’ve admired the real-world insights and experienced perspectives of Steve Goldner, perhaps better know as @Social Steve. I’m pleased that Steve has agreed to be the newest Contributing Columnist to {grow} and I know you’ll enjoy his work!
By Steve Goldner, Contributing {grow} Columnist
I head up social media at a performance marketing agency in New York City and I will tell you, everyone is interested in social media! But getting people to buy in and commit to social media takes MUCH more than having a shiny object.
It might be easy to get in the door, but you must show relevance to business KPIs (key performance indicators) to get commitment for social media. And budgets shift all the time so social media MUST show continuous measurable results. Social media accountability means delivering and demonstrating growth in all relevant parameters that are inputs and building blocks to stated KPIs.
So how do you even go about this? Here are three simple suggestions that will definitely put you on the right path:
Understanding the Business you Represent
Make sure you know EXACTLY what your company stands for. Formally document a position statement, target market to serve, value proposition you provide for your customers, as well as the communication objectives of the company. Share this with stakeholders of the company and make sure you have concurrence.
This is an extremely important first step for social media because your “social” activities should be aimed at reinforcing your position and value proposition and be targeted to the right people. This does not mean that you are going to explicitly communicate these positions, but you should reflect on these formal documents and look to support your brand position and values when you design your owned media.
Don’t “Post” – Publish
There are two missions when running a blog and/or community: 1) attract new readers/users, and 2) make sure the existing audience comes back. The nuance between posting and publishing is the difference between simply putting up some words (i.e. posting an article name and URL) versus gaining peoples attention and getting them interested. As an old (CMO) boss of mine would always say – “words are important.”
And if we look at the missions stated above, it is more than just using compelling, engaging words. Plan how your owned media will get easily shared. Build strategy and tactics to get earned media.
Deliver Metrics that Matter to Executives
Executives think in terms of a sales funnel. Yes, I think the funnel is dead (and I have covered that), but that does not really matter if your customer thinks otherwise.
You have to show results in a manner that is relevant to the stakeholders’ perspective. This means being able to measure awareness, consideration, loyalty, and advocacy. Notice I did not mention sales. Social media is generally a weak vehicle for direct sales, BUT awareness, consideration, loyalty and advocacy ALL contribute to sales. Here are a few thoughts (there are many more) on how to measure each:
- Awareness – is typically generated beyond your digital assets. If someone is on your website, blog, or Facebook page, they have already become “aware.” So use a social media monitoring tool. Measure the number of mentions of your brand or website URL.
- Consideration – shows up by checking out your brand and from a digital perspective this can be measured by how many come to brand website. Look at onsite parameters such as visits, pageviews, and time onsite.
- Loyalty – comes when individuals engage with brands and literally say, “I want in.” Easy loyalty measurements include number of comments and interactions, sign up on sites, and the number of friends and followers. Individually, none of these items show loyalty, but looking at them collectively provides loyalty insights.
- Advocates – publically reference your brand. This can be measured by capturing the number of retweets, reblogs, mentions, and positive sentiment for your brand.
Let’s address how these numbers should be considered in context of an overall marketing program.
Looking at specific numbers for a given month really doesn’t tell you anything. And seeing a drop from one month to another or seeing a rise from one month to another should not necessarily alarm you or be cause for celebration, respectively. You will likely see zigzag fluctuations each month based on many confounding events and factors you cannot control.
The relevant information comes from a statistical evaluation of a normalized curve over a number of months, perhaps a 12-month sliding scale. Realistic and true social media success is captured over time and short term successes are probably not be a true indication of market reality. Can you represent a 5-10% growth in each area month-to-month on the normalized curve? Now that’s meaningful success!
Winners in the social media space have a game plan, meaningful + relevant metrics, and the right people to both execute the plan and provide the appropriate analysis. Do you have a plan? Do you feel you have the right talent on board? How is this changing for you and your company as social media matures as a channel?
Steve Goldner is the Senior Director at MediaWhiz where he leads the social media practice. Steve has been a marketing executive for the past 20+ years and engaged in social media for the last 4 years. You can follow him on Twitter @SocialSteve and visit his own blog at http://socialsteve.wordpress.com .










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